By Jim Coffman
This is it.
Tonight is just about the whole season for the Bears. Of course it is still early and of course all sorts of squads come back from rough starts to make the postseason.
But if the team doesn’t knock off the Lions in Detroit tonight after losing to the Packers two weeks ago, it will find itself way, way behind two different divisional foes. It will take the rest of the season (and lots of good fortune) for the Bears to make up the resulting three-game deficits, and those huge runs would have to include even-up wins over rivals that have already knocked them off.
To venture way out into projection land . . . there would be a better chance the Bears would win the second wild card than that they would rally in the division after starting 2-3. And yes I know that would mean three teams qualifying for the playoffs from the NFC North. Skeptical? Well, let’s just say the rest of the conference fails to impress at this point. Only two teams other than the division leaders (Washington, New Orleans and San Francisco) have winning records in the East, South and West divisions and both off those squads (the Giants and the Buccaneers) have two losses.
So I suppose it isn’t right to completely write off the Bears playoff chances if they lose tonight. Instead, let’s go ahead and make one large prediction: If they drop this game, the Bears will not win the NFC North. If they don’t win the division, they won’t make the conference final, and if they don’t make the conference final, they obviously will fall short of last season.
Plenty of teams talk about their only goal being a spot in the Super Bowl. But if a team that only won four games last year grabs nine victories this time around and squeaks into the playoffs as a wild card, it has succeeded. On the other hand, the sad truth for a team that made the conference final a year ago is that there is only one more step to take. If the Bears don’t make the Super Bowl a year after grabbing a spot in the Final Four, the season really is a flat-out bust, no matter who was hurt or whatever else happened (the Packers suffered all sorts of injuries last year – enough said about a possible injury excuse).
As for a few specifics about tonight’s match-up, well, I don’t do “keys to victory.” More than 90 percent of stories written before games – copy that purports to break down what it will take for this team to prevail over that one, are full of it. Who knows what the heck is going to happen other than the absolutely obvious, i.e., if one team pressures another team’s quarterback consistently, it will have a much better chance to win. I’m guessing you know this already.
But I will go ahead and list some “keys to not driving Bears fans crazy.”
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Posted on October 10, 2011