By Dan O’Shea
To trade, or not to trade.
A few weeks ago, when the White Sox looked like they were about to back up the truck and trade half the team, I took a long hard look at some of the Sox players on my fantasy rosters. Would Paul Konerko’s fantasy numbers, which have been great this year, benefit from a move to a better team, or would being in a stronger lineup just mean more walks and fewer home runs and RBIs? Would Alex Rios see his RBI opportunities dwindle if the Sox start pushing minor leaguers into the lineup? Would Jake Peavy’s numbers regain their Peavy-ness if he was sent back to the National League, or is he destined for an uneven year?
I didn’t trade any of these players, and as long as the Sox keep winning, neither will General Manager Kenny Williams.
Sometimes, fantasy managers should act on assumptions about who is rumored to be trade bait, but you have to be careful, too, as both real and fantasy baseball leagues inch closer to their trading deadlines. We learned that last year, when Roy Halladay seemed all but dealt by Toronto, and then ended up not being dealt at all. Fantasy managers who acquired Halladay based on abundant rumors in the days before the trade deadline had to be disappointed that he didn’t get shipped to a winning team.
This year, the rumors have so far focused not only on Konerko and Peavy, but also Seattle SP Cliff Lee, Oakland SP Ben Sheets, Houston 1B/OF Lance Berkman and teammate OF Carlos Lee, among others. A change of scenery definitely can change a player’s fantasy numbers, but until he’s in his new uniform, trading or acquiring him in the fantasy world remains a gamble.
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Posted on June 23, 2010